14:30 Ascot 22 Jun 2024
Chesham Stakes
Pentle Bay 1pt win only 8/1 – Can only improve for being stepped up in trip here and of the limited form we have to work with here, his looks to be of a fair level. The horse that finished 4th in his debut race was not beaten far in the Windsor Castle Stakes from the wrong side of the draw and actually finished 1st of those that didn’t race near side. Yard are bang in form with a 34% strike rate in the last 14 days and have already struck at this years festival.
15:05 Ascot 22 Jun 2024
Hardwicke Stakes
Elegant Man 0.5pt EW 40/1 – Its very difficult to look beyond the favourite Continuous here and given that the selection was comfortably beaten behind him last time out some might thing I’m crazy giving this one a second look. He certainly has a couple of questions to answer but if doing so could improve markedly on his last run putting him much closer here. The longer trip should bring out more and in fact his best run today was over this trip on just his second run behind the superstar horse that is Rebel Romance. Breeding suggests that the quicker ground will also be to his liking and at the price, just grabbing a place will out pay the favourite winning quite handsomely.
15:45 Ascot 22 Jun 2024
Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes
Swingalong 0.5pt EW 16/1 (4 places W/Hill) – Looked a very rusty version of herself when beaten by Mill Stream and a few others here last time out following a 207 day lay off. Prior to that she looked to be a very progressive sort and with that run under her belt and like so many of Karl Burke’s runners better can be expected for the reappearance. With 4 places available it would be silly not to take advantage so EW is the play but we feel this is a race she could very well go on and win. She has gone well here previously and was 3rd in last years G1 commonwealth Cup.
16:25 Ascot 22 Jun 2024
Jersey Stakes
Task Force 1pt win only 7/1 + Pearls and Rubies 0.5pt EW 66/1 – Task force if able to settle will be entitle to come on in spades given that his run in the 2000 Guineas came following 217 days off the track and having had wind surgery prior to racing. He sweated up quite badly before the race and the experience alone should bring him on plenty. Was not on the right side of the draw that day either and doesn’t have a lot to find with the top two in the market if anything. Has the most scope for improvement and wouldn’t need much. Pearls And Rubies was a very smart 2yo and finished 2nd on his last run as a 2yo in the Cheveley Park behind Porta Fortuna who won the Coronation Stakes on Friday. Reappeared with a very poor performance which can sometimes be the case with AOB runners but write them off at your peril, just look at City Of Troy.
16:25 Ascot 22 Jun 2024
Jersey Stakes
Harry Three 1pt win only 8/1 – Returned to action from 630 days off with a very positive run in a listed event and this once Group 1 performer has eased to a mark that could work now back in handicap company. He looked a little rusty last time out and with that run under his belt can kick on here from what looks a great draw. Ryan Moore is back in the saddle and he is 2/2 on the horse, he also carries a 34% strike rate for the yard overall and is 3 from 4 for them in the last 12 months.
17:40 Ascot 22 Jun 2024
Golden Gates Stakes
Arabic Legend 0.5pt EW 25/1 – Was soundly beaten last time out in the Derby Trial at Lingfield but that race has since produced a Listed winner, the Queens Vase winner and the runner up in this years Derby so its fair to say the water was pretty choppy that day. Didn’t seem to quite get home over the trip that day and this drop back to 10f will be a big positive, with the quicker ground also looking ideal. His opening mark will require a career best but its in there and he has no excuses today.
18:15 Ascot 22 Jun 2024
Queen Alexandra Stakes
Tashkan 1pt win only 9/1 – Outside of Trueshan this one has easily the best levels of form achieved by a country mile over this field and on some of his form from early last year you’d have said he was past his best. His run in the Cesarewitch to finish 3rd however laughs in the face of such nonsense and if in the same form on his return to action will be a major player today. He has gone well fresh in the past and whilst not ideal the quicker ground will not put him off. Has less questions to answer than the favourite who is worth taking on here.
Multiples
0.1pt EW 7 fold on above 6 selections
0.25pt Trixie – Pentle Bay/ Harry Three/ Task Force
0.25pt EW trixie – Swingalong/ Arabic Legend/ Elegant Man
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