Sept 20th picks from #Chelmsford #Hamilton #Plumpton

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13:30 Chelmsford City 20 Sep 2020

CCR Handicap

Dubai Legacy (1pt win only 7/1)

Returns from a spell in Meydan and off the back of a 200+ day lay off. Has gone well fresh in the past and is only 1lb above his last winning mark. All wins have come over this trip or within 1/2 a furlong. Oisin Murphy takes the ride and he has a 30% strike for the yard in the last 12 months. Yard tends to come good around this time too and they know how to win here with around a 30% strike rate. Yards only runner on the card.

15:00 Chelmsford City 20 Sep 2020

chelmsfordcityracecourse.com Handicap

Will To Win (1pt win only 9/2)

4 wins and 1 placed effort from just 5 runs on the AW. Yet to run here but those wins have come at 3 different AW tracks. Returns to AW today following a spell on turf where he did not quite transfer the form. Been freshened up with a short break and still has a little juice in this mark with the yard going great guns (31% STRIKE IN LAST 14 DAYS). James Doyle has a 28% strike for the yard and a very good LSP of +21 and he takes the ride here today.

13:15 Plumpton 20 Sep 2020 

Strong Flavours Catering Juvenile Hurdle

Full Secret (0.5pt EW 20/1)

A pretty modest flat performer who has joined Neil King from Richard Fahey. Was well held on stable debut but is of far much more interest starting out over obstacles for the first time. Decently bred filly who receives weight here from some of the more fancied runners and could well be a surprise package for this shrewd duo of King/Frost. Bryony Frost has a 20% strike and LSP od +61 when riding for the yard.

15:20 Plumpton 20 Sep 2020 

Thank You Nhs & Key Workers Handicap Hurdle

Honorable (1pt win only 11/2)

Very hit and miss for the local trainer but finds himself here upped in trip, down in grade and falling in the weights. On pick of last years efforts these 3 factors combined would give this one a huge chance today. Yard have been plodding along nicely and enjoy a fair bit of success here too. Worth the punt.

0.25Pt Trixie on above 3 win selections – 1Pt

Total Pts Played -5Pts

Sept Total –  +16.42PTS

Sept Selections – 63.00

Sept ROI – +26.06%

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Sept 19th picks from #Ayr #Newbury

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14:30 Ayr 19 Sep 2020

QTS Ayr Silver Cup Handicap

Magical Spirit (0.5pt EW 25/1 6 places Will Hill)

Lightly raced and put in a much improved run over 5f last time out following wind surgery. If able to improve for that run could well go close here at a big price. Equally as effective over this longer trip and was in fact doing his best work late on last time over the shorter trip. Ground looks ideal and Kevin Stott takes the ride. Kevin gets on well with this one and is 3 wins and 4 placed from 9 rides on board.

15:05 Ayr 19 Sep 2020

Scotty Brand Firth Of Clyde Fillies’ Stakes

Scarlett Bear (1pt win only 12/1)

Still a maiden but was on the premise in a decent looking race last time out. Could well be able to put that experience to good use here in this similar looking contest. Consistent in all 4 runs to date coming up against decent opposition in all 4 races.

15:40 Ayr 19 Sep 2020

QTS Ayr Gold Cup Handicap

Bungee Jump (0.5pt EW 50/1 6 places Will Hill)

Bit of a wildcard selection this one. Last couple of runs have not been very good at all but prior to that had been running very well indeed. Returned to action with a commanding victory in a race that has since worked out and finished runner up in a listed event. If able to rediscover that form looks to hold decent EW chances at a huge price. Yard don’t often venture this far North so worth a pop.

14:15 Newbury 19 Sep 2020

Dubai Duty Free Handicap

Kingbrook (1pt win only 10/1)

A good 3rd on return from a lengthy lay of finishing just in behind today’s favourite from the John Gosden yard. Should come on for that run and is well worth a try at this price here. Well bred runner who appreciated the step up to this trip last time out. Very interesting ex Mark Johnstone runner.

16:30 Newbury 19 Sep 2020

Heatherwold Stud Handicap

Nigel Nott (1pt win only 12/1)

This ones latest run in a race that is working out pretty well tells us that he is on a fair mark here. This race looks to be a little more competitive so will demand improvement and will need to prove as effective on turf. Is bred to be just as effective however and may just be slightly better if anything. S De Sousa is an eyecatching booking in the saddle.

0.25Pt Trixie on above 3 win selections – 1pt

Total Pts Played -6Pts

Sept Total –  +5.8PTS

Sept Selections – 57.00

Sept ROI – +10.17%

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Sept 18 picks from #Ayr #Kempton #Catterick #Newbury

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15:20 Ayr 18 Sep 2020

Arran Scottish Sprint EBF Fillies’ Stakes

American Lady (1pt win only 12/1)

A good 2nd here over CD back in June and travels across from Ireland having not been disgraced in much better company last time out. 4 places available for the EW backers but we go all in for the win with the booking of Ben Curtis giving us a boost of confidence.

15:55 Ayr 18 Sep 2020

QTS Ayr Bronze Cup Handicap

Flying Pursuit (1pt win only 8/1)

Has a decent record here over this trip and has had his sights lowered this year a little from this meeting last year. Sitting on a very handy mark for a very shrewd yard who are in decent form of late too. Has placed in the Gold cup here before and despite being on a long losing run this current mark cannot be ignored returning here with conditions to suit.

16:05 Catterick 18 Sep 2020

Bet At racingtv.com Handicap

Trumpets Call (1pt win only 13/2)

Falling in the weights to what looks a more realistic mark for this local yard. Has the visor on for the first time which if having the desired effect could make all the difference today. Placed over CD on handicap debut from 4lb higher and has improved slightly each run since. Coming to the boil and will be winning soon.

17:10 Kempton 18 Sep 2020

Unibet Thanks The Frontline Workers Nursery

Light Wakeup (1pt win only 10/1)

Showed signs of improvement for debut run when 3rd in an above average race at Wolverhamton in early August. Has been given time again to come on for that run and this opening mark here looks a fair one if able to improve even slightly.

14:30 Newbury 18 Sep 2020

Dubai Duty Free Handicap

Stylehunter (1pt win only 10/1)

Useful horse who has performed well in and around this level for some time. Very consistent and will have come on for his latest run. Yard are absoloutely flying at present with 10 winners in the last 14 days for a 34% strike rate and they are 3 wins and 2 placed from 5 here this term for a 60% win rate. W Buick takes the ride and he is yet to finish out of the money when teaming up with this one.

0.5pt EW 5fold on above 5 runners – 1pt

Total Pts Played -6Pts

Sept Total –  +11.8PTS

Sept Selections – 51.00

Sept ROI – +23.13%

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Sept 13th picks from #Bath #Chelmsford and #Wolverhampton

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14:45 Bath 13 Sep 2020 

Signs Express Handicap

Drew Breeze (1pt win only 9/1)

Going from 1lb out of the handicap here so a slight risk involved but steps up in trip here which on breeding could well unlock a little more. Ran a pleasing 3rd on yard debut after joining from Stella Barclay and could well improve on that here. Yards record here over the last 12 months is pretty decent with 5/23 for a 21% strike and a more impressive LSP of +31.

15:15 Bath 13 Sep 2020 

Best Free Tips At valuerater.co.uk Handicap

Derek Le Grand (0.5pt EW 33/1 4places Betfred)

One from the tracker with which we are chancing our arm slightly. 4 places available which certainly helps our confidence a little. Ran a very good second over this trip on Good to Firm ground back in July from this mark and has possibly not been seen to best effect in more testing conditions since. Gets that ground again here and could outrun these odds today.

15:45 Bath 13 Sep 2020 

Final Furlong Podcast Handicap

Able Kane (1pt win only 6/1)

Put in a decent effort here over CD back in July on similar ground to today and has since under performed on softer conditions. Returns here some 5lb lower and has to be in with a chance if rediscovering that form. Visor applied which could help him settle so fingers crossed for a big run.

15:25 Chelmsford City 13 Sep 2020

betfred.com Handicap

Silver Line (1pt win only 4/1)

I might need my head testing as this would possibly look an impossible ask to some, comes in from almost a year off the track and giving away 10lb+ to the field. Was found out on Soft ground when last seen in a very hot looking handicap however and is worth another try here. Possibly a better horse than handicap company and despite the long lay off has proven to go well fresh before. Prior to that last run he had put in a great effort giving weight away to a couple of very classy performers, including a G1 winner. Yard have a very good record here with a near 30% strike too so not one to dismiss.

16:05 Wolverhampton 13 Sep 2020 

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True Destiny (1pt win only 11/2)

Ran an out of character bad race last time out but before that was running consistently well at a much higher level than this. Yard are in great form and this horse is equally as effective if not more on the AW. Huge drop in grade today and eased a couple of pounds for a bang in form yard. Whats not to like. Yards only runner on the card and Jason Watson travels in for the ride

17:35 Wolverhampton 13 Sep 2020 

Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 Handicap

Divine Consent (1pt win only 7/1)

Somewhat of an unknown quantity this one and comes here with his yard not really firing. Goes for top connections however and makes handicap debut having been gelded and stepping back up markedly in trip. Plenty of unknowns but is well bred and will have better races than this within given time. Yards only runner on the card and Tom Marqand takes the ride

0.25Pt EW 5 fold on above 5 win selections – 0.5pt

Total Pts Played – 6.5Pts

Sept Total –  +9.8PTS

Sept Selections – 44.5

Sept ROI – +22.02%

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Sept 12th picks from #Chester #Doncaster #Lingfield #Musselburgh

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15:50 Lingfield 12 Sep 2020 

Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap

Go Bob Go (0.5pt EW 25/1)

Still a maiden after 5 attemps but comes here with the yard going well. Steps back up quite significantly in trip here in first time cheekpieces and if having the desired effect on this better ground then should outrun these odds. Mark has fallen a further 4lb and although a risky one, its also one we are willing to take the plunge on at these odds.

14:25 Doncaster 12 Sep 2020 

bet365 Portland Handicap

15:00 Doncaster 12 Sep 2020 

bet365 Park Stakes

Shine So Bright (0.5pt EW 20/1 B365)

Already a G2 winner last term and came here last year to try his hand in this race. Was a little disappointing however after running very keenly early on and returns 12 months later for another pop. Arrives on the back of a couple of solid runs and having been freshened up with a short break. Closely matched with a few of these here on best form and has conditions to suit. Overpriced.

17:00 Lingfield 12 Sep 2020 

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Magical Ride (1pt win only 11/2)

Previous CD winner who can be forgiven his last run when missing the break. Comes here wearing the visor for the first time dropping in grade and eased in the weights too. Hollie Doyle is booked for the ride and theres plenty to like about this one for Richard Spencer. Has a great draw to get involved here.

18:00 Lingfield 12 Sep 2020 

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Zulu Girl (0.5pt EW 20/1 4 places Will Hill)

Another from the in form Eve Johnson Houghton yard and another who looks overpriced coming here with untapped potential. Blinkers on for the first time which hopefully could eek out a little more here. Has placed twice from just 4 runs from off a 4lb higher mark in similar conditions and is well worth another try at these generous odds with 4places on offer. Any money for this runner could prove significant.

17:40 Musselburgh 12 Sep 2020

Bet At racingtv.com Handicap

Fred (1pt win only 5/1)

A lightly raced 3 year old from the Mark Johnstone yard who on best form from last year looks fairly treated here. Was not given a hard time last time out returning from a 381 day lay off having been gelded too. Much better can be expected here with PJ McDonald in the saddle eased a couple of pounds.

0.5pt EW 5 fold on above 5 selections – 1pt

Total Pts Played6 Pts

Sept Total –  +12.8PTS

Sept Selections – 38.5

Sept ROI – +33.24%

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Sept 10th picks from #Chelmsford #Chepstow #Haydock

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19:00 Chelmsford City 10 Sep 2020

chelmsfordcityracecourse.com Handicap

Cemhaan (1pt win only 6/1)

Lightly raced sort from the in form John Gosden yard. Returns to the AW following a pleasing return to action in a better race than this. Looks to be on a very workable mark and should have come on for that run.

19:30 Chelmsford City 10 Sep 2020

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Thegreatestshowman (1pt win only 9/2)

Was due to run at Catterick on Tuesday and was withdrawn that day in favour of this outing. Has won here before over 6f but is equally as effective over this minimum trip. Small field could play into his favour and Hollie Doyle on board is a big positive. Blinkers on for the first time and should go close.

15:55 Chepstow 10 Sep 2020 

bet365 Handicap

Vape (0.5pt EW 20/1)

Disappointing on debut for this yard just 18 days ago and is quickly switched back to turf. On pick of earlier form is on a fair mark here and yard have a decent record here and has been profitable to follow too over the last 12 months.

13:00 Haydock 10 Sep 2020

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Selecto (1pt win only 9/1)

Some 7lb below his decent opening run of the season which came here over CD. Yard are absoloutly on fire at present. Will act on the soft ground and has to go very close from this mark. First time blinkers could well just sharpen him up too.

16:40 Haydock 10 Sep 2020

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Evening Spirit (1pt win only 13/2)

Too early to rule this one out following a couple of lack lustre performances. Based on her earlier form as a juvenile is not harshly treated and this yard enjoy their fair share of winners here with a 32% win strike in the last 12 months.

0.5pt EW 5 Fold – 1pt

Total Pts Played today – 6Pts

Sept Total –  +18.8PTS

Sept Selections – 32.5

Sept ROI – +57.84%

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