Sunday 4th picks from #MarketRasen #Southwell

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14:10 Market Rasen 04 Apr 2021

Mansionbet morethanthenational Faller Insurance Handicap Hurdle

Diamond Rose (1pt win only 11/1)

Ernesto is a worthy favourite here following his latest run but is yet to go in handicap races and whilst his opening mark doesn’t look overly harsh he is also taking a step up in trip so there are a few points to prove for one at such a short price. So instead we turn to the overpriced Julian Smith runner. A yard that does well here with a 27% strike and one that is also profitable to follow with a LSP of +59. Stats aside this 9 year old mare is a previous CD winnerwho put in a fair performance returning from a break last time out. Should be able to come on for that run in what look to be ideal conditions from a mark that is not overly generous but is about right.

13:00 Southwell 04 Apr 2021 

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Raabeh (1pt win only 14/1)

With many in this race looking to be in the grips of the handicapper we turn to one who despite having a few questions to answer offers a few nuggets of hope too. Has been off the track for 110 days so will need to be ready but comes here from what looks a pretty handy mark to help with that cause. Still pretty lightly raced and put in arguably his best performance to date here over CD back in November. That run was from an 8lb higher mark and he also has the additional help of Angus Villiers 5lb today making him some 13lb better off than for that run. Has a bit to prove following two lesser runs since but hopefully the team have got to the bottom of whatever was wrong before his return here today.

14:06 Southwell 04 Apr 2021 

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I Had A Dream (0.5pt EW 40/1)

Huge outsider who is clearly a risky proposition. However has placed twice from just 6 of her runs to date and despite disappointing since switching yards offers a glimmer of hope from this reduced mark today. Clearly had problems as the yard have given her some time off and goes in the tongue strap today. Hopefully this will help as on her best run she is not on an overly harsh mark. Breeding suggest that the track should suit and the yard have a decent record here in recent times with a 21% win and 50% place strike in the last 12 months. Josephine Gordon takes the ride over one from S L Keightley yard for who she is the yard jockey and there are no weight issues determining that decision.

16:11 Southwell 04 Apr 2021 

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Fragrant Storm (1pt win only 4/1)

Well bred and well related handicap debutant from a stable in form. Closely related to stables Nayef Road who won on handicap debut from a mark of 85, this one goes from just 64 and is well worth a try upped in trip on this new surface today.

0.25Pt Trixie on above 3 win selections – 1pt total

Total Pts Played: 5Pts

April Total:  -5.00pts

April Selections: 5

April ROI: %

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