Monday 5th picks from #Ayr #Nottingham #Ripon #Windsor #Worcester

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Spartakos 0.5pt EW 25/1 4 places Skybet (135Ayr) Outsider

Trainers record here does not read well but we are willing to put that aside for this lightly raced maiden who is starting to look well handicapped. Was initially given a mark of 57 for his handicap debut last term and performed well finishing second that day, has been a little indifferent since and as a result goes now from 48 some 9lb lower. Was not disgraced last time out following a short break and that run could have put him right for this one. Andrew Breslin takes off a further 5lb giving this one absolutely no excuses today.

Toolmaker 1pt win only 7/1 (210Ayr) Nap

Still a maiden after 16 runs and looked in need of the run on yard debut last time out. Will need to come on for that run but comes here with the stable having found some form and at a track where they do particularly well. Eased a further 3lb by the handicapper and sits on a basement mark today. Yards record here reads 7 wins and 2 placed from 18 for a 38% win strike and a LSP of +19 in the last 12 months, they are 3 from 8 in the last 14 days overall and Phil Dennis taking over in the saddle is another positive today.

Scorched Earth 0.5pt EW 33/1 4 places PP/SkyBet (305Nott) Outsider

Bit of a wildcard outsider from me here but one that keeps niggling with me to take the punt. Will be having his first run for new yard Tony Coyle who can be a shrewd operator at times and does so from a mark that this time last year we would have laughed at. Will have no issues with the trip and is versatile with conditions and has the ability to make a mockery of the handicapper if this change of hands has had any effect. Won off 77 in Ireland just under 2 years ago and placed when returning from a break this time last year from 72, goes from 55 today following failed spells with Dan Skelton and R Dickin over obstacles. Could leave me with egg on the face but hard to ignore at this price.

Soldier On Parade 1pt win only 9/1 (440Worc) Nb

Won 3 juvenile races on the bounce last term for this yard which earned him a pretty heavy handicap mark and a pathway to racing in much better company. Didn’t cut it at that level and has largely disappointed since causing the yard a few headaches. Drops now into more realistic company and goes from a mark that he ought to be competitive of, that is of course if he is able to bounce back from a poor spell which has resulted in having a wind op. Hopefully that will have put him right here for a yard that excels at this course with a record of 7 wins and 3 placed from 17 for a 41% strike and an LSP of +26

Jamesaintpatrick 1pt win only 14/1 (515Worc) Iwac

The other of the above mentioned Amy Murphy’s runners on the Worcester card today. The stats speak for themselves but this one has shown enough on merit too to warrant a punt. And before we go too much further its worth mentioning that for the EW backers at these prices there are 5 places at 14/1 available with Skybet. Been inconsistent since his sole win back in 2019 but has been eased in the weights as a result and is 6lb below that winning mark. Won’t mind the slightly easier ground and this drop in grade today and is worth a try at these odds.

0.25pt Trixie on Nap/Nb/Iwac – 1pt


Total Pts Played: 6 Points

July Total:  0.63

July Selections: 24.75

July ROI: +%

Donations are always greatly appreciated. Please take a look how you can help Acorns Childrens Hospice https://www.justgiving.com/fundraising/h4csupportedcharity

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