Oct 11th picks from #Goodwood and #Newton Abbott

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13:15 Goodwood 11 Oct 2020

Download The tote Placepot App Handicap

Darksideoftarnside (1pt win only 12/1)

Yet to fire this term but gets perfect conditions here today. Back down to last winning mark and has won from higher previously when the mud is flying. Needs to bounce back but Tom Marquand can get this one back in the winners enclosure.

14:55 Goodwood 11 Oct 2020

tote / British EBF October Fillies’ Stakes

Afraid of Nothing (1pt win only 13/2)

Trainer has won this race 2 years running and plays a strong hand again this term sending no less than 3 to contsest this term. This one is the pick of the 3 for us having previously won on heavy ground under todays jockey and looking most likely of the 3 to have progressed this far stepping into listed company for the first time.

15:25 Goodwood 11 Oct 2020

tote.co.uk Home Of The Placepot Handicap

Amarillo Star (0.5pt Ew 22/1 4 places)

On best form doesn’t look harshly treated here for Charlie Fellowes. Will need to over come a lay off of over 200 days but has gone well fresh before and is less exposed than a few of these. 4 places on offer and represents decent EW value.

17:00 Goodwood 11 Oct 2020

tote.co.uk Handicap

Dourado (1pt win only 8/1)

Almost 3 years since last win but has fallen to a mark that with conditions falling right here today that he could quite easily make a mockery of. Yard are in flying form with 4 of their last 8 runners coming home in front. Been running creditably in defeat and gets everything he could of asked for here today.

13:45 Newton Abbot 11 Oct 2020 

British Stallion Studs EBF ‘National Hunt’ Novices’ Hurdle

Grey Felix (0.5pt EW 33/1)

One of two Kim Bailey runners on the card here with exactly the same breeding and despite disappointing in bumper race last time out could well prove to be a different proposition with obstacles in front of him now. Yard in good form and although probably one for the longer term could sneak a place at generous odds.

14:15 Newton Abbot 11 Oct 2020 

British Stallion Studs EBF ‘National Hunt’ Novices’ Hurdle

Grey Flint (0.5pt EW 33/1)

See Above runner

15:15 Newton Abbot 11 Oct 2020 

William Hill Leading Racecourse Bookmaker Handicap Hurdle

Boyhood (1pt win only 8/1)

Goes well fresh giving hope that his latest runs can be forgiven when last seen 309 days ago. Previous CD winner getting ideal conditions today. Mark looks a fair one and is possibly better over these smaller obstacles than most of his rivals nowadays.

0.5PT EW 5 Fold on Boyhood,Dourado,Amarillo Star,Afraid of Nothing,Darksideoftarnside – 1PT

Total Pts Played -8Pts

Oct Total –  -6PTS

Oct Selections – 12

Oct ROI – -50.00%

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Oct 10th picks from #Hexham #Chepstow

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14:12 Chepstow 10 Oct 2020 

Unibet You’re On Handicap Hurdle

Fair Mountain (1pt win only 14/1)

Put in a couple of fair efforts over this trip from his current mark and has ideal conditions today. Takes a marked step down in class here and whilst vulnerable to a lesser exposed type could still be fairly treated on the evidence of his run at Market Rasen back in July. Capable of winning this on a going day.

14:47 Chepstow 10 Oct 2020 

Native River Handicap Chase

Some Chaos (0.5pt Ew 18/1)

Reverts back to the bigger obstacles just 2lb higher than his latest win having put in a decent effort over hurdles on softer than ideal ground. Overpriced now returning to fences with conditions looking much more favourable today.

15:57 Chepstow 10 Oct 2020 

Wasdell Group Silver Trophy Handicap Hurdle

Mario De Pail (0.5pt Ew 14/1 5 places)

Ran well fresh last term and followed that up with a hurdles debut win and another couple of very strong runs after that before coming undone in a grade 1 at Cheltenham. Progressive and should be open to plenty of improvement. Done all of his winning to date on softer ground but nothing to suggest that he won’t be equally as effective over this quicker ground. Ran well here before and is overpriced with 5 places up for grabs.

13:25 Hexham 10 Oct 2020 

Campbell & Rowley Hospitality Management Handicap Chase

Ash Park (1pt win only 10/1)

Little impact since the turn of the year and it remains to be seen just how much ability this one retains. Returns to chasing following a couple of spins over hurdles and has been given a decent chance by the hadicappers. Goes some 16lb lower than his last attempt at these bigger obstacles. Hard to ignore from this mark.

13:55 Hexham 10 Oct 2020 

Campbell & Rowley For Corporate Events Handicap Hurdle

Henrietta Bell (1 pt win only 14/1)

Reverts back to the smaller obstacles after a fair crack at chasing. Goes from her last winning mark and could go close here at a big price. Page Fuller takes off a valuable 3lb for the in form H Whittington who doesn’t send many here and has won with 2 of only 3 runners when doing so.

0.5pt EW 5 Fold on above 5 runners – 1Pt

Stand Out Stats

N Henderson 6 from 10 for a 60% strike at Hexham and sends 2

El Kaldoun 13/2 (1225H)

Lelantos 2/1 (1611H)

P Hobbs 6 from 9 for a 67% strike at Hexham and sends 2

Victorian 4/1 (1225H)

Forever Des Long 10/11 (1428H)

Jedd O Keefe 5 from 12 at hexham last 5 years for a 42% strike sends just 1

Jedhi 7/1 (1255H)

P Winks 4 from 11 for a 36% strike with LSP of +35 at Hexham sends just 1 today

Agentleman 20/1 (1503H)

Total Pts Played -6Pts

Oct Total –  -6PTS

Oct Selections – 6

Oct ROI – +%

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Oct 3rd picks from #Newmarket #Redcar

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14:10 Newmarket 03 Oct 2020

British EBF Premier Fillies’ Handicap

Be More (1pt win only 9/2)

Won well at Sandown upped to this trip back in July before putting in a couple of weaker efforts. Today’s softer conditions however should play in this ones favour. Is 3/3 on soft ground and is only 3lb higher here than that latest win in not ideal conditions at Sandown. Plenty of scope still to improve for the top pairing of A Balding and Oisin Murphy who have probably been doing the rain dance for this one.

14:45 Newmarket 03 Oct 2020

Kingdom Of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes

Terebellum (1pt win only 13/2)

Winner of the Dahlia stakes back in June and went very close having a first crack at this trip next time out. Narrowly denied by stablemate Nazeef last time out but had raced keenly on that occasion and if able to settle better today could well reverse that form having taken a short break which has proven effective previously. John Gosden is in flying form and could break his duck in this race here today.

15:25 Redcar 03 Oct 2020

William Hill Two Year Old Trophy

Blind Beggar (0.5pt EW 16/1)

Richard Fahey has come here again with a decent hand looking to retain this Trophy. Yard have won 2 of the last 3 renewals and they have come in again mob handed. An earlier piece of form from this one is what caught the eye when third behind Umm Kulthum. Has run creditably well since then and could have fair better than result last time out where having to recover from a slip staying on well to grab second. The slight increase in trip on that evidence should suit and a decent EW price is available.

16:00 Redcar 03 Oct 2020

Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap

Well Funded (1pt win only 7/1)

Has decent form on softer ground and has now dropped below last winning mark. Yard have been going well of late and this race looks like a more realistic one than some of his recent outings. Been given a chance by the handicapper and should go well here in slightly calmer waters.

16:35 Redcar 03 Oct 2020

Racing TV Straight-Mile Handicap

Hot Summer (0.5pt EW 28/1 5 places Will Hill)

A soft ground winner over todays trip back in August and looks massively overpriced from just a 2lb higher mark returning to similar conditions. Richard Hannon doesn’t send many this far North and has a decent strike rate at the course at around 24% from 37 runners with a LSP of +32 to add into that.

17:55 Wolverhampton 03 Oct 2020 

bet365 Novice Stakes

Numoor (1pt win only 10/1)

The favourite certainly has the pick of the form on paper after beating Derby prospect Megallen last time out but is always more difficult when carrying a penalty. The selection is from the very much in form S&E Crisford yard and he should fair better than his last run having hung badly following a slow start. Been given plenty of time to learn from that and should run a big race here. Yard are 5/10 in the last 14 days for a 50% strike and have a great record here too with 10 wins and 8 placed from just 37 in the last 12 month for a 37% win strike at the track.

Total Pts Played -6Pts

Oct Total –  +PTS

Oct Selections –

Oct ROI – +%

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Sept 27th picks from #Chester #Nottingham

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14:05 Nottingham 27 Sep 2020

Star Sports Owners Club 20k Guarantee Handicap

Itkaan (1pt win only 5/1)

Put in an out of character weak run last time out and is given another chance here based on earlier form. Showed plenty of promise as a 2 year old and made a pleasing return to action when winning at Salisbury. Yard is in decent form and have been among the winners recently and they also enjoy a decent time of it here at Nottingham and have a 37% strike with a LSP of +31.

16:25 Nottingham 27 Sep 2020

Watch The Star Sports Betting People Series Handicap

Roulston Scar (1pt win only 8/1)

Very useful sort over these sprint trips and made a winning start for new yard over in Meydan. Put in a poor run when last seen and returns to the UK following a 227 day lay off and having had wind op. Has the tongue strap on for the first time too and is on a fair mark here should they have the desired effect for this very hot yard who have a 38% strike rate in the last 14 days. Yard also have a fair strike here at around 23%. William Buick takes the ride and he sits at around a 25% strike for the yard.

13:15 Chester 27 Sep 2020 

Thyme People EBF Novice Auction Stakes

Discomatic (1pt win only 7/1)

A respected newcomer from the Andrew Balding yard who certainly know how to get one ready first time. Half brother so several useful winners including 2 year old winners Ventura Knight and Smart Mover. Yard won the race last year and have a good record here and are profitable to follow here too with a LSP of +69 from a 21% strike. Oisin Murphy is in for the ride and he needs no introductions either.

16:45 Chester 27 Sep 2020 

Horseradish Handicap

Calculation (1pt win only 5/1)

Made a pleasing return to action following a short lay off when just narrowly denied and followed that up with another decent run upped in class. Drops back down in grade here for Sir Michael Stoute and the Queen and should go close once more. Yard sends just this one and have a good record here too with a 36% strike and they are in good nick at present too.

0.25pt Yankee on above 4 runners – 2.75Pts

Total Pts Played -6.75Pts

Sept Total –  +9.92PTS

Sept Selections – 77.00

Sept ROI – +12.88%

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Sept 26th picks from #Chelmsford #Newmarket

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18:15 Chelmsford City 26 Sep 2020

Racing Welfare Supporting Racing’s Workforce Handicap

Global Heat (1pt win only 6/1)

Been off for 7 months and returns to the UK following a spell in Meydan. Didn’t really put best foot forward in just two races over there but returns here with yard firing on all cylinders. On best of earlier form looks well treated today. Yard won this race last year with one who had a similar profile who was also returning to Uk from Meydan following 7 month absence.

13:15 Newmarket 26 Sep 2020

Blandford Bloodstock Maiden Fillies’ Stakes

Star Of Screen (0.5pt EW 50/1)

Bit of a longshot but makes enough appeal on paper to warrant a small EW in this wide open contest at such a price. Plenty of encouragement in the breeding for 2yo success and if the rain stays away long enough could be a surprise package here.

14:25 Newmarket 26 Sep 2020

Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes

Alcohol Free (1pt win only 13/2)

Less exposed thatn a few of these here and despite finishing runner up last time out was still running pretty green and can be expected to come on for that run. Some of the form from that race ties in with a few here and on that evidence with a little improvement this one could give the favourite something to think about today.

15:35 Newmarket 26 Sep 2020

bet365 Cambridgeshire Handicap

Tulfarris (0.5pt EW 33/1 7 places PP)

Often the bridesmaid and not the bride but for that said is a pretty consistent performer at or around this level. Has a decent draw here today based on previous runnings. Narrowly denied last time out returning from almost a year off the track and goes again from the same mark suggesting that he is well treated should he come on for that run. This demands more but is less exposed at this trip than many of his rivals and that could prove vital after such a condensed season for many. Won’t mind a drop of rain and is pretty versatile with conditions.

Total Pts Played -4Pts

Sept Total –  +6.42PTS

Sept Selections – 73.00

Sept ROI – +8.79%

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Sept 21st picks from #Hamilton #Leicester #Warwick #Wolverhampton

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15:55 Hamilton 21 Sep 2020

Sodexo Veterans’ Handicap

Dragons Voice (1pt win only 12/1)

A rare runner North of the border for David Menusier who sends just this one runner on a 862 mile round trip here today. Last couple of runs have left a little to be desired but on best form is fairly treated. Has cheekpieces on for the first time following a couple of poor performances and been off for 65 days too. That gives this shrewd handler plenty of time to have worked some magic. 2lb below last winning mark and has favourable conditions too so plenty to like on paper.

17:05 Hamilton 21 Sep 2020

RacingTV HD On Sky 426 Handicap

Cruising (1pt win only 11/2)

Has been running very well from this mark recently and finishing off his races strongly over 7f. That suggests that this small step up in trip today for the in form D Brown could well provide the answers. Kevin Stott takes over in the saddle and he is 2/3 for the yard this term. Vulnerable from a win perspective and needs to find a little more but today’s changes could be just the ticket.

13:00 Leicester 21 Sep 2020

Leicester Apprentice Handicap

Peachey Carnehan (1pt win only 10/1)

A very consistent performer who won this race last year from just 1lb lower. Did so last year without the aide of any claim and won pretty comfortably too. Has a 5lb claim today and has been in good heart so worth a try returning here with the yard just starting to gather some momentum.

14:45 Warwick 21 Sep 2020

racingtv.com Handicap Chase

At Its Own Expense (1pt win only 8/1)

Phillip Hobbs sole runner on the card and goes in the hands of Champion Jockey Richard Johnson. Hard to asses on current run and will hopefully come on for it here. Still not fulfilled potential over fences and may have more to offer. Nicely priced and should give us a run for our money from a slightly revised mark. Phillip is 7 wins and 5 placed from 23 for a 30% strike here in the last 12 months which offers plenty of encouragement too.

16:25 Wolverhampton 21 Sep 2020 

Visit attheraces.com Handicap

Dana Forever (1pt win only 7/1)

Was denied a clear run last time out in the hands of this inexperienced claimer over CD and if getting away on terms today could give this short priced favourite something to think about. Chances were scuppered pretty early on last time out but showed a great attitude to plug on for a place and is weighted to reverse the form with the reopposing Baltic State. Poppy Fielding is 2 wins and 3 placed from 8 for Tom Dascombe in the last 12 months with a LSP of +32 so is profitable to follow.

0.5pt EW 5 Fold on above 5 selections – 1pt

Total Pts Played -6Pts

Sept Total –  +11.42PTS

Sept Selections – 68.00

Sept ROI – +16.79%

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Sept 20th picks from #Chelmsford #Hamilton #Plumpton

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13:30 Chelmsford City 20 Sep 2020

CCR Handicap

Dubai Legacy (1pt win only 7/1)

Returns from a spell in Meydan and off the back of a 200+ day lay off. Has gone well fresh in the past and is only 1lb above his last winning mark. All wins have come over this trip or within 1/2 a furlong. Oisin Murphy takes the ride and he has a 30% strike for the yard in the last 12 months. Yard tends to come good around this time too and they know how to win here with around a 30% strike rate. Yards only runner on the card.

15:00 Chelmsford City 20 Sep 2020

chelmsfordcityracecourse.com Handicap

Will To Win (1pt win only 9/2)

4 wins and 1 placed effort from just 5 runs on the AW. Yet to run here but those wins have come at 3 different AW tracks. Returns to AW today following a spell on turf where he did not quite transfer the form. Been freshened up with a short break and still has a little juice in this mark with the yard going great guns (31% STRIKE IN LAST 14 DAYS). James Doyle has a 28% strike for the yard and a very good LSP of +21 and he takes the ride here today.

13:15 Plumpton 20 Sep 2020 

Strong Flavours Catering Juvenile Hurdle

Full Secret (0.5pt EW 20/1)

A pretty modest flat performer who has joined Neil King from Richard Fahey. Was well held on stable debut but is of far much more interest starting out over obstacles for the first time. Decently bred filly who receives weight here from some of the more fancied runners and could well be a surprise package for this shrewd duo of King/Frost. Bryony Frost has a 20% strike and LSP od +61 when riding for the yard.

15:20 Plumpton 20 Sep 2020 

Thank You Nhs & Key Workers Handicap Hurdle

Honorable (1pt win only 11/2)

Very hit and miss for the local trainer but finds himself here upped in trip, down in grade and falling in the weights. On pick of last years efforts these 3 factors combined would give this one a huge chance today. Yard have been plodding along nicely and enjoy a fair bit of success here too. Worth the punt.

0.25Pt Trixie on above 3 win selections – 1Pt

Total Pts Played -5Pts

Sept Total –  +16.42PTS

Sept Selections – 63.00

Sept ROI – +26.06%

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Sept 19th picks from #Ayr #Newbury

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14:30 Ayr 19 Sep 2020

QTS Ayr Silver Cup Handicap

Magical Spirit (0.5pt EW 25/1 6 places Will Hill)

Lightly raced and put in a much improved run over 5f last time out following wind surgery. If able to improve for that run could well go close here at a big price. Equally as effective over this longer trip and was in fact doing his best work late on last time over the shorter trip. Ground looks ideal and Kevin Stott takes the ride. Kevin gets on well with this one and is 3 wins and 4 placed from 9 rides on board.

15:05 Ayr 19 Sep 2020

Scotty Brand Firth Of Clyde Fillies’ Stakes

Scarlett Bear (1pt win only 12/1)

Still a maiden but was on the premise in a decent looking race last time out. Could well be able to put that experience to good use here in this similar looking contest. Consistent in all 4 runs to date coming up against decent opposition in all 4 races.

15:40 Ayr 19 Sep 2020

QTS Ayr Gold Cup Handicap

Bungee Jump (0.5pt EW 50/1 6 places Will Hill)

Bit of a wildcard selection this one. Last couple of runs have not been very good at all but prior to that had been running very well indeed. Returned to action with a commanding victory in a race that has since worked out and finished runner up in a listed event. If able to rediscover that form looks to hold decent EW chances at a huge price. Yard don’t often venture this far North so worth a pop.

14:15 Newbury 19 Sep 2020

Dubai Duty Free Handicap

Kingbrook (1pt win only 10/1)

A good 3rd on return from a lengthy lay of finishing just in behind today’s favourite from the John Gosden yard. Should come on for that run and is well worth a try at this price here. Well bred runner who appreciated the step up to this trip last time out. Very interesting ex Mark Johnstone runner.

16:30 Newbury 19 Sep 2020

Heatherwold Stud Handicap

Nigel Nott (1pt win only 12/1)

This ones latest run in a race that is working out pretty well tells us that he is on a fair mark here. This race looks to be a little more competitive so will demand improvement and will need to prove as effective on turf. Is bred to be just as effective however and may just be slightly better if anything. S De Sousa is an eyecatching booking in the saddle.

0.25Pt Trixie on above 3 win selections – 1pt

Total Pts Played -6Pts

Sept Total –  +5.8PTS

Sept Selections – 57.00

Sept ROI – +10.17%

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Sept 18 picks from #Ayr #Kempton #Catterick #Newbury

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15:20 Ayr 18 Sep 2020

Arran Scottish Sprint EBF Fillies’ Stakes

American Lady (1pt win only 12/1)

A good 2nd here over CD back in June and travels across from Ireland having not been disgraced in much better company last time out. 4 places available for the EW backers but we go all in for the win with the booking of Ben Curtis giving us a boost of confidence.

15:55 Ayr 18 Sep 2020

QTS Ayr Bronze Cup Handicap

Flying Pursuit (1pt win only 8/1)

Has a decent record here over this trip and has had his sights lowered this year a little from this meeting last year. Sitting on a very handy mark for a very shrewd yard who are in decent form of late too. Has placed in the Gold cup here before and despite being on a long losing run this current mark cannot be ignored returning here with conditions to suit.

16:05 Catterick 18 Sep 2020

Bet At racingtv.com Handicap

Trumpets Call (1pt win only 13/2)

Falling in the weights to what looks a more realistic mark for this local yard. Has the visor on for the first time which if having the desired effect could make all the difference today. Placed over CD on handicap debut from 4lb higher and has improved slightly each run since. Coming to the boil and will be winning soon.

17:10 Kempton 18 Sep 2020

Unibet Thanks The Frontline Workers Nursery

Light Wakeup (1pt win only 10/1)

Showed signs of improvement for debut run when 3rd in an above average race at Wolverhamton in early August. Has been given time again to come on for that run and this opening mark here looks a fair one if able to improve even slightly.

14:30 Newbury 18 Sep 2020

Dubai Duty Free Handicap

Stylehunter (1pt win only 10/1)

Useful horse who has performed well in and around this level for some time. Very consistent and will have come on for his latest run. Yard are absoloutely flying at present with 10 winners in the last 14 days for a 34% strike rate and they are 3 wins and 2 placed from 5 here this term for a 60% win rate. W Buick takes the ride and he is yet to finish out of the money when teaming up with this one.

0.5pt EW 5fold on above 5 runners – 1pt

Total Pts Played -6Pts

Sept Total –  +11.8PTS

Sept Selections – 51.00

Sept ROI – +23.13%

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Sept 13th picks from #Bath #Chelmsford and #Wolverhampton

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14:45 Bath 13 Sep 2020 

Signs Express Handicap

Drew Breeze (1pt win only 9/1)

Going from 1lb out of the handicap here so a slight risk involved but steps up in trip here which on breeding could well unlock a little more. Ran a pleasing 3rd on yard debut after joining from Stella Barclay and could well improve on that here. Yards record here over the last 12 months is pretty decent with 5/23 for a 21% strike and a more impressive LSP of +31.

15:15 Bath 13 Sep 2020 

Best Free Tips At valuerater.co.uk Handicap

Derek Le Grand (0.5pt EW 33/1 4places Betfred)

One from the tracker with which we are chancing our arm slightly. 4 places available which certainly helps our confidence a little. Ran a very good second over this trip on Good to Firm ground back in July from this mark and has possibly not been seen to best effect in more testing conditions since. Gets that ground again here and could outrun these odds today.

15:45 Bath 13 Sep 2020 

Final Furlong Podcast Handicap

Able Kane (1pt win only 6/1)

Put in a decent effort here over CD back in July on similar ground to today and has since under performed on softer conditions. Returns here some 5lb lower and has to be in with a chance if rediscovering that form. Visor applied which could help him settle so fingers crossed for a big run.

15:25 Chelmsford City 13 Sep 2020

betfred.com Handicap

Silver Line (1pt win only 4/1)

I might need my head testing as this would possibly look an impossible ask to some, comes in from almost a year off the track and giving away 10lb+ to the field. Was found out on Soft ground when last seen in a very hot looking handicap however and is worth another try here. Possibly a better horse than handicap company and despite the long lay off has proven to go well fresh before. Prior to that last run he had put in a great effort giving weight away to a couple of very classy performers, including a G1 winner. Yard have a very good record here with a near 30% strike too so not one to dismiss.

16:05 Wolverhampton 13 Sep 2020 

Follow At The Races On Twitter Handicap

True Destiny (1pt win only 11/2)

Ran an out of character bad race last time out but before that was running consistently well at a much higher level than this. Yard are in great form and this horse is equally as effective if not more on the AW. Huge drop in grade today and eased a couple of pounds for a bang in form yard. Whats not to like. Yards only runner on the card and Jason Watson travels in for the ride

17:35 Wolverhampton 13 Sep 2020 

Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 Handicap

Divine Consent (1pt win only 7/1)

Somewhat of an unknown quantity this one and comes here with his yard not really firing. Goes for top connections however and makes handicap debut having been gelded and stepping back up markedly in trip. Plenty of unknowns but is well bred and will have better races than this within given time. Yards only runner on the card and Tom Marqand takes the ride

0.25Pt EW 5 fold on above 5 win selections – 0.5pt

Total Pts Played – 6.5Pts

Sept Total –  +9.8PTS

Sept Selections – 44.5

Sept ROI – +22.02%

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