July 2nd Selection

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Firmdecisions 0.5pt EW 16/1 5 places SkyBet (623Bev) IWAC

It’s clear that this on is not the force of old but then his latest run shows that he still has something to offer from this much reduced mark. His last win came 2 years ago to the day and it came from a 33lb higher mark than the one he goes from today. Even this time last year he was putting in decent efforts from 20+ lbs higher so is worth one last roll of the dice here. Could only manage 5th last time out in what looked a competitive handicap but finished the race off well suggesting this step up in trip today could work out well. Finished well ahead of any rivals last time out from a similar low draw and we take another chance with the insurance of 5 places.

Form Of Praise 1pt win only 13/2 (723Bev) NAP

100K yearling who was not beaten far on debut in conditions that were probably not ideal. Been given time to come on for that run and gets more suitable conditions here today. That debut race has worked out pretty well since and can even tie this one in pretty closely to today’s short priced favorite. Has a decent draw and should be thereabouts at the business end.

Beechwood Donna 0.5pt EW 20/1 4 places Will Hill (753Bev) NB

CD winner here on debut and has shown a liking for the track placing twice here since. Looked in need of the run last time out returning to action following 248 days off the track and comes here today with the yard entering a rich vein of form. Eased 4lb and going in the hands of a very promising young claimer who takes off a further 7lb in Oisin McSweeney this one is far to attractive at these odds to leave alone.

Salam Zayed 0.5pt EW 40/1 4places PP (840Hay) Outsider

Entitled to be in need of his yard debut at Chester last time out which came over the completely inadequate trip of 10f. That run came following a switch of yards and 627 days off the track so at the very least he should be sharper here for that run. Drops back to 7f which could be a little on the sharp side but does so from a mark that if retaining any of the ability once shown should be a workable one. Owner Marwan Koukash has kept faith in him and we take a punt on what is no more than an interesting outsider. This race should reveal more.

0.25pt EW Trixie – 2pts

Total Pts Played: 6 Points

July Total:  -6

July Selections: 6

July ROI: +%

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July 1st Selections

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Natty Night 1pt win only 15/2 (738Epsom)

Well backed on Yard debut and finished a tailed off 7th. That run came off the back of a 218 day lay off and despite not quite getting home last time out ran very well for a long way and is worth another try here with another run under his belt. Should be much fitter here now and holds every chance on old form in a contest like this from his current mark. Has won from this mark before and looks very versatile with conditions. Miss L M Turner has a decent record riding for Venetia Williams and she could take this Ladies Derby today.

Citron Major 0.5pt EW 40/1 (320Hay)

Interesting outsider dropping in class here having been eased in the weights slightly. Went very close on reappearance but has failed to land a blow in better company since. Gets ideal conditions here today and comes here with the yard having found a little form. 7lb Claimer on board makes this current mark look even more tempting. Needs to bounce back.

Sudona 1pt win only 15/2 (430Hay)

Eased a little in the weights and dropping back down in grade following a forgivable poor run having been poorly positioned. Previous couple of runs offer plenty of encouragement that this revised mark is a competitive one back in the hands of Danny Tudhope.

Kodiac Attack 1pt win only 10/1 (553Newb)

A very attractively weighted runner based on old form and one that is inpossible to ignore given the 7lb claim here today too. Conditions and trip look ideal so no excuses can be made if coming up short. Passed up a race at Bath yesterday in preference to this and goes effectively 17lb below the last winning mark with todays claim.

Siglo Six 0.5pt EW 66/1 5 places SkyBet (825Newb)

Rank outsider and rightly so given the form shown since joining this yard. All his runs for this yard however have come on the AW and he is evidently a different horse on turf. Has fallen to a very attractive mark some 12lb below his last winning one and this marked step back up in trip could be just the key to this one bouncing back to some sort of form.

0.25pt Trixie on above 3 win selections – 1pt

Total Pts Played: 6Points

July Total:  +0

July Selections:

July ROI: +%

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June 30th picks

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Rockingham Jill 1pt win only 10/1 (555Bath)

Very lightly raced and far less exposed than this field. On the evidence of what we have seen so far ought to be able to get competitive from this reduced mark if tuned up following a 228 day lay off. Yard have been in good form so we are not put off by the absence and won this race last year. Showed a liking for the track on her debut run and holds plenty of potential.

Power Of Darkness 1pt win only 6/1 (725Bath)

Has not been disgraced despite the bare results in better company on his last few runs and now sits 4lb below his last winning mark dropping in class. Yard have a great record here with around a 25% strike and if the addition of todays cheekpieces has the right effect could bounce back.

Lethal Angel 0.5pt EW 16/1 (835Kemp)

Put in a fair effort on her latest 2 runs and showed enough to suggest that she is worth a try here making her course debut. Back in her familiar headgear which could well sharpen her up. Consistent performer who cannot be ruled out on that recent form.

Trinity Star 0.5pt EW 20/1 (255Muss)

Returned to some sort of form last time out when a staying on 4th from a poor position and is worth another try here from a slightly reduced mark. Now racing 15lb below his last winning mark and whilst he has not been up to that level since joining this yard he ought to be capable from this mark at this level.

Reely Bonnie 0.5pt EW 20/1 (405Muss)

Hooded for the first time and taking a fair step up in trip today. Both of these factors could well bring about the improvement needed for this filly to get back to winning ways. Well handicapped and worthy of a small EW bet at these generous odds.

Sound Of Iona 0.5pt EW 20/1 (435Muss)

Turned out quickly following an improved run last time out. Has been inconsistent and hard to catch right but comes in with her yard bang in form and is more than capable of bagging a place at big odds.

0.1pt Heinz on above 6 selection 5.7pts

0.25pt ew 6fold – 0.5pts

Total Pts Played: 12.20 Points

June Total:  +138.30

June Selections: 66.50

June ROI: +207.96%

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Monday 28th selection

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Red Alert 1pt win only 6/1 (315Ling)

Lost his way for this yard and was switched to Mick Appleby where he had just one run and that was a return to something more like when runner up last time out at Chelmsford. Comes back to Tony Carroll following that improved performance and goes here from what looks a winning mark. The horse back in 3rd from that race has given that form a boost by winning since and there’s plenty of encouragement to get behind the selection. Has won over this minimum trip before so no need to worry on that score and goes here from a mark some 18lb below his last winning one. Hollie Doyle takes the ride.

Oriental Lilly 1pt win only 8/1 (545Muss)

Ran a decent race when picked by myself last time out despite the bare result. Turned out quickly here and drops in grade slightly which could well just hold the key to getting back to winning ways. Now 11lb below her last winning mark which was less than 12 months ago and has shown signs recently that she is coming back to some sort of form. Paul Mulrennan takes over in the saddle and he has been profitable to follow for this yard in recent months, has a LSP of +42 in the last 12 months when teaming up with Jim Goldie. Yard in good form and have a 29% strike in the last 14 days.

Markazi 0.5pt EW 18/1 4 places Skybet (645Muss)

Yet to get going for this yard but looking back to the level this one was running at just 10 months ago would suggest that its far too soon to be writing him off. Could possibly do with a little more give in the ground but from this current mark we find him very hard to ignore. With Billy Garrity’s claim here he goes 19lb below his last winning mark and placed off similar to that winning mark in class 3 company (this is class 5) just last September.

Mr Orange 1pt win only 10/1 (225Pont)

6 times CD winner who is yet to get going this term but as a result comes in here having slid to a very handy mark. Has everything in favour for this latest attempt so holds no excuses if coming up short.

0.25pt Yankee

0.5pt EW 4 FOLD

Total Pts Played: 7.75Points

June Total:  +146.05

June Selections: 58.75

June ROI: +248.59%

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Tuesday 22nd Selections

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Zeyzoun 1pt win only 9/1 (355Brig)

15 runs since this one notched up his sole flat win back in 2019. Has plummeted down the weights as a result of some very inconsistent form and now finds himself some 25lb below that last winning mark. His first 2 runs this term showed that he is no forlorn hope and still holds the ability to score in a contest of this magnitude. Needs to bounce back from a couple of lesser efforts but todays softer ground could help if he’s in the right mood.

Sweet Pursuit 1pt win only 6/1 (805Newb)

A winner last week from a mark of 60 and goes here just 1lb higher under a 4lb penalty strangely. Arguably a better horse on soft ground too so could be a good few pounds better than that latest run suggests. Her previous form from recent years would certainly suggest that too having won and placed from marks of 72 and 75 retrospectively. Won with a little in hand last time and could well follow that up today.

Oriental Lilly 1pt win only 12/1 (125Ayr)

Still unexposed over this trip and has won over 7f here before which offers encouragement that it will not be beyond her. She is now sitting on a career low mark of 54 (last win from 65) and hinted at a revival last time out over the shorter 6f trip. Interesting then that she is stepped up to the mile today. Team have been in decent form and worth a try at this price.

Tomily 1pt win only 8/1 (310Ayr)

Previous course winner who was only beaten 1/4 length back in 3rd last time out. The second in that race has since come out and won offering some encouragement here. Race looks a competitive on but this horse is more than capable off this current mark of 67. Has placed previously from 86 and won within the last two years from 77 so plenty in the tank if this new yard have found the key to unlocking him today.

0.25pt Yankee on above 4 selections – 2.75pts

Total Pts Played: 6.75Points

June Total:  +152.8

June Selections: 52

June ROI: +293.84%

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Monday 21st Selections

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Know No Limits 0.5pt EW 16/1 4 places Skybet (430Chep)

First run for this new yard having largely disappointed last term for Tom Dascombe. Previous season had seen this filly run at a much better level and winning from a mark some 16lb above where she sits now. She will obviously need to bounce back and be fit from a long lay off but the switch of yards could do the trick here. Has the ability if wanting to use it.

Bellevarde 1pt win only 6/1 (530Chep)

CD winner who put in a creditable effort under this jockey last time out. Was not beaten far that day and that race has already thrown out another winner. Has previously won from a much higher mark but it was her run here last year when finishing second behind Peggy Sue that stands out most. That run was from a 15lb higher mark than today’s and she has an additional 5lb taken off by Saffie Osbourne putting her on a mark that is very difficult to ignore.

Beautiful Ben 1pt win only 10/1 (100South)

A comfortable winner here over this trip from a very similar mark last September and put in a couple of decent runs to follow that up before disappointing last time out at Kelso. Had been very busy before that last run and comes here now having been given a good rest of 8 months. Has the ability to get involved from this mark if the yard have him right after that lay off. Adam Wedge takes the ride and he has a record of 17 wins and 12 placed efforts from 57 rides for a 29% win strike with a LSP of +25 which offers plenty of encouragement. Yard and Jockeys only runner on the card.

Boher Lad 0.5pt EW 40/1 4 places Skybet (310South)

This Veteran, 3 times CD winner arrives here out of sorts and possibly entering the last chance saloon. Has a change of jockey today and goes under a rider who gets on very well with him having won twice and placed a further 3 times from 10 rides on board. His mark of 77 would look like an insult should this old boy retain any of the ability that he showed here back in March last year and it would be silly not to have one last crack at these prices with 4 places available.

Green Power 0.5pt EW 33/1 B365/Skybet (700 Windsor)

Something has clearly gone awry for this one in the last year or so and he comes here with plenty to prove. If we look back 12 months you would have seen this one running in Group company, albeit a little out of his depth but having earned his place there. Now 16lb below his last winning mark and has won on Soft ground before so there are a few positives to pull from and offer enough encouragement to not let this one slide by. (precautionary inspection takes place 8AM)

0.5PT EW 4 FOLD (EXCLUDING Green Power)

Total Pts Played: 6Points

June Total:  +156.8

June Selections: 47

June ROI: +333.61%

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Sunday 20th Selections

Classical Milano 1pt win only 14/1 (345H)

A 3 times CD winner who goes from a mark of 88 today and has previously (in the last 2 years) won from a mark of 105 so he runs today 17lb below that last winning mark which came here over CD

Princeton Royal 0.5pt EW 20/1 (200W)

Last win came from a mark of 135 and due to a spell of lesser performances is able to run here from a mark of 124 some 11lb lower. That win came back in September last term so may still have enough left to get involved here. Today’s jockey take off an extra 5lb too.

Corinthia Knight 0.5pt EW 20/1 (525P)

Previous course winner who is now some 10lb below last winning mark which came over a slightly shorter trip than this at Bath. Has won 4 times at the longer 6f trip so that is no inconvenience. Went close on return back in April from 5lb higher but has disappointed since. This looks more realistic test for what is the yards only runner on the day.

0.25pt EW Trixie on above 3 runners – 2pts

5Pt Total played

Royal Ascot Day 5

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14:30 Ascot 19 Jun 2021 

Chesham Stakes

Out In Yorkshire (0.5pt EW 66/1)

Comfortable win on debut when taking on ordinary company, stepped up on that performance when runner up in a deeper race last time out at Salisbury. Still has a fair bit to find on form with some of these but is absolutely crying out for this step up in trip and if able to cope with this testing ground could cause an upset this afternoon.

15:05 Ascot 19 Jun 2021 

Jersey Stakes

Vadream (0.5pt EW 25/1 5 places)

A good 3rd in behind Alcohol Free (Coronation Stakes winner yesterday) on reappearance back in April and put in another huge run in Group 1 company last time out. Drops back in trip here which looks a smart move and has the potential to relish these testing conditions today. Very lightly raced and a potential improver. Decent draw too.

15:40 Ascot 19 Jun 2021 

Hardwicke Stakes

Ilaraab (1pt win only 5/1)

Hugely progressive last term winning 5 on the bounce over some fairly decent sorts. Has returned this season looking to have come on again putting another decent looking field to the sword. These are deeper waters for sure but deserves his place in the line up and ought to be competitive too. Twice a winner on soft and improved for a step up to this trip last time out. A very likeable attitude.

16:20 Ascot 19 Jun 2021 

Diamond Jubilee Stakes

Ventura Rebel (0.5pt EW 22/1 B365)

Possibly has a little to find on form with a couple of these but is still open to some improvement and on a going day is as good as the market leaders here. Has done most of his best work on ground with some give and gets that today, hopefully not too sticky. Ran well on reappearance in a race that has not only worked out well but also ties him in very closely with a few of these and will hopefully have come on for that run which came on the back of a 228 day break putting him just right for a big run. Didn’t get an ideal run that day either so that run can possibly be upgraded slightly. Has placed twice and won one from just 3 runs at the track which offers further encouragement. Lots to like and overpriced.

17:00 Ascot 19 Jun 2021 

Wokingham Stakes

Zargun (0.5pt EW 40/1 6 places Will Hill)

Was well held by today’s favorite Kings Lynn last time out but had previously put in a couple of decent handicap runs which have shown that he is on a very workable mark. That last run came over a very inadequate 5f and this slight step up here in testing conditions looks absolutely perfect. Todays 5lb claim from a decent stall gives this one an extra boost and the price is ridiculous based on those last 3 runs this term. Extremely well bred and has an opportunity to upset a few here.

17:35 Ascot 19 Jun 2021 

Golden Gates Stakes

Without Revenge (0.5pt EW 22/1 5 places PP)

Showed marked improvement for the step up in trip last time out suggesting that this race could well be at or around his optimum today. Has enough in the breeding to suggest this softer ground will not impede him too much and is worth a try in this wide open affair. Still looks to be on a decent mark despite that comfortable victory last time out and may well do better again having been given the time to come on for that. Excellent EW chances.

18:10 Ascot 19 Jun 2021 

Queen Alexandra Stakes

Global Heat (0.5pt EW 28/1)

One from the tracker who has a few question marks hanging over him today at this marathon trip in testing conditions. Not and obvious sort to relish the testing ground or the trip but there is enough in the breeding to suggest that he could. Now if the Godolphin team have seen fit to enter him here and Oisin Murphy takes the ride then who am i to argue. Has some useful form in the book and yard are going well so we take the bait.

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Royal Ascot Day 4

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14:30 Ascot 18 Jun 2021 

Albany Stakes

Hellomydarling (0.5pt EW 16/1 5places PP)

Looked to still have something in hand when winning on debut just a week ago at Goodwood and comes from breeding that suggests that this could be a minimum trip here. Will be staying on at the business end and that may just hold the key should the forecast rain fall to make this a tough test for this short distance runners. Has an RPR rating of 102 off the back of that run which also puts her right in the mix here from what looks a decent draw too.

15:05 Ascot 18 Jun 2021 

King Edward Vii Stakes

Tasman Bay (1pt win only 14/1)

Has put in a couple of very creditable runs behind top class opposition since his win at Newcastle back in March. That win also ties him in pretty favorably with a couple of these here too. Breeding would certainly suggest that this step up in trip will suit and there may still be more to come from another selection that won’t mind a drop or two of rain.

15:40 Ascot 18 Jun 2021 

Commonwealth Cup

Dragon Symbol (1pt win only 13/2)

Won his first 4 races in good style and stepped up markedly again on that form when just narrowly denied by Rohaan in the G2 Sandy Lane Stakes tackling bottomless ground for the first time. That race not only proved how genuine this selection is but also that he is very versatile regards to conditions and teak tough to boot. That run has to put him bang in the mix with possible further improvement to come.

16:20 Ascot 18 Jun 2021 

Coronation Stakes

Empress Josephine (1pt win only 7/1)

Impeccably well bred Irish 1000 Guineas winner who has a decent bit of form from just 4 runs over a few of these rivals here. Trip is a bare minimum however so expect to see her flashing home late. Will relish any rain that falls but will not be too inconvenienced should it not come either. Further progression can be expected and needs to be taken seriously.

17:00 Ascot 18 Jun 2021 

Sandringham Stakes

Riknnah (0.5pt EW 6 places various)

Improving sort who arrives here on the hat trick following a novice win under a penalty last time out. Will need to step up on that form again to feature here but goes from a mark on handicap debut that doesn’t look overly harsh. A well bred filly who is still unexposed, won’t mind this step back up in trip and should be versatile should the rain start to get in. In good hands too.

17:35 Ascot 18 Jun 2021 

Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes

Aaddeey (1pt win 6/1) + Khagan (0.5pt EW 50/1 5places various)

Aaddeey was runner up behind a very progressive sort on reappearance and followed that up with an out of sight victory over an above average field next time out. Has gone up 13lb for that win but the way in which he went about that race against the opposition that day suggests that he is still not done at this revised mark. Trip looks ideal and versatile regards to ground conditions. Khagan was a very useful performer in France for Andre Fabre but spent 562 days off the track before joining his new yard and has not performed to the same level for them as yet. That said this step back up in trip here today with the rain forecast looks to give this one the perfect opportunity for a revival. Huge odds if able to get back to somewhere near from this falling mark.

18:10 Ascot 18 Jun 2021 

Palace Of Holyroodhouse Stakes

Significantly (1pt win only 11/1 Betfred) + Hala Hala Hala (0.5pt EW 50/1 6 places Will Hill)

Runner up in last 2 races and the form of those races is really starting to stack up. What we have seen come from these two races make this ones mark look a pretty fair one should he arrive in the same form. Versatile with conditions and has no excuses from the draw today. Hala Hala Hala is one at monster odds that will need keeping an eye on too. Goes from the opposite side of the draw but we have seen winners there already this week and the rain could throw another spanner in the works today. Had undergone wind surgery before her latest reappearance race where she showed signs of that early 2 year old promise, been given time to come on for that and is dangerous to discount dropping into Handicap company for the first time.

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Royal Ascot Day 3

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14:30 Ascot 17 Jun 2021 

Norfolk Stakes

Second Wind (1pt win only 12/1) + Little Earl (0.5pt EW 40/1 4 places B365)

Second Wind made it 2 from 2 last time out when beating home a subsequent winner despite carrying a 7lb penalty. The form of his debut win is also starting to work out and this progressive sort could be the type to carry on improving. The William Haggas yard are in great form with a 34% strike rate in the last 14 days which is an obvious boost to the selection. Little Earl has progressed steadily and was runner up in a decent looking Listed event at Sandown last time out, a race that is just starting to work out well. Couldn’t trouble the winner that day but is worth another try at these odds today.

15:05 Ascot 17 Jun 2021 

Hampton Court Stakes

Notre Belle Bete (0.5pt EW 40/1 4 places SkyBet)

Not a strong fancy by any means and the two market principals have every right to be sitting at the head of the market. Both are a little skinny on the odds however so with 4 places to play we are looking for a possible angle at a big price. It would be a big surprise if the selection were to notch up his first victory here but theres enough in the form book to peak our interest. A close up run on debut behind the magnificent Poetic Flare was the first of two decent runs in listed company before finishing runner up last time out stepped up in trip for the first time out. Steps up again in trip here and not an obvious one to appreciate this on paper, however does have stamina on the sires side to suggest that if something has been seen at home then its well worth exploring here. Hopeful and optimistic selection to take on the obvious.

15:40 Ascot 17 Jun 2021 

Ribblesdale Stakes

Gloria Mundi (1pt win only 6/1)

John Gosden has won 3 of the last 4 runnings of the Ribblesdale and he has a strong hand here again this year. Noon Star is a worthy favourite on his last run behind subsequent Oaks winner Snowfall. Previous to that however he had the beating of a John Gosden runner that is only his second string today, which makes the selection an interesting one. The choice mount of Frankie Dettori who himself has won this race 5 times including the last 2. Narrowly denied when staying on to Eshaada last time out but should be capable of reversing that for here stepped up in trip again.

16:15 Ascot 17 Jun 2021 

Gold Cup

Subjectivist (1pt win only 7/1)

Very difficult to look beyond Stradivarius here who looks to emulate the mighty Yeats and win a 4th consecutive Gold Cup but this Mark Johnston runner has been on our radar for some time as a possible Gold Cup contender and we can’t let him line up without taking a punt. Very versatile performer who still looks to be improving and is getting better the further he goes. Was a comfortable and impressive winner stepped up in trip at Longchamp last October and put in an even more electrifying run when absolutely smashing up in the Dubai Gold Cup. It might be a year too soon but be sure you’ll get a run for your money from this top class performer.

17:00 Ascot 17 Jun 2021 

Britannia Stakes

Dinoo (0.5pt EW 33/1)

Roger Varian saddled the winner of this race last year and he has an interesting one on his hands here. Showed plenty of promise on debut last year and has since switched here from Richard Hughes. Missed the break and still managed to stay on for third last time out when looking a little awkward to say the least. That run came off the back of a 274 day lay off so despite the quirks better can be expected here. Makes handicap debut here from what looks a very lenient mark based on last years form.

17:35 Ascot 17 Jun 2021 

King George V Stakes

Kondo Isami (1pt win only 12/1)

Progressive sort hailing from a yard that has a great record in this race. This Mark Johnstone runner showed a great attitude when seeing off a subsequent winner on his return at York before just narrowly being denied by tough stablemate Dancing King at Doncaster. Still looks fairly treated and will be game as most of this yards runners are.

18:10 Ascot 17 Jun 2021 

Buckingham Palace Stakes

Lord Campari (1pt win only 12/1) + Magical Wish (0.5pt EW 80/1 6 Places)

Lord Campari was a top looking prospect who trounced a very good looking field on 3 year old debut at Newbury. Has since had a couple of troubled runs in Group Company before finishing a tame 6th behind Palace Pier on reappearance in the Lockinge. This represents a huge drop in class as he takes on handicap company for the first time from a mark that is admittedly no Gimme but could be a class above these rivals. Magical Wish would be dangerous to rule out here too. Highly tried but now sitting on a good mark and with the assist of a 7lb claim from a good stall, Ew bet to save.

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