Saturday Selections from #Kempton #Newcastle #Uttoxeter


The latest selections

Midlands Grand National

335 Uttoxeter (Nb)

Paddleyourowncanoe 1pt win only 14/1 – One of the few races that has evaded Dan Skelton at the track that he has had 100 wins to date, more than any other track so clearly loves it here along with Wetherby. So he will be looking to put that right here. This one joined from Colin Tizzard and looks to have had his mark protected slightly with a tilt at this in mind. Looks very well treated for one who is completely unexposed here and in such good hands.

315 Kempton (Nap)

Manofthemountain 1pt win only 13/2 – Second in the race last year and returns of a much higher mark this year for another tilt. That mark is a fair one however given the style in which he won his next race. Has been progressive since and takes a drop back in class today following a fair run in the PP Gold Cup. Has been rested up for this race and generally goes well fresh so should run a big race. Nothing in the pack looks to be too far ahead of the handicapper so big chances today.

233 Newcastle (Iwac)

Shaws Bridge 1pt win only 12/1 – Decent hurdler who is yet to get to grips with these bigger obstacles. Is persevered with however and now looks to be sitting on a pretty handy mark in a field that won’t take too much beating. Has hinted at some promise now chasing so we are happy to forgive the latest run.

Multiple

0.25 pt Trixie on above 3 runners – 1pt


Specials/Offer

150 Uttoxeter

Dazzling Glory £10 win only 12/1 (Skybet money back as cash if 2nd, 3rd or 4th) – Looked to be back to some sort of form last time out in a race that has worked out pretty well since. Has been eased again in the weights for this first attempt under rules over this longer trip and now sits on a winning mark. Step up in trip should suit based on the fact that she is a points winner and conditions look ideal too. Harry Skelton now on board and well worth another try today.

Running total – +£30.00

Bets with no stake returned – 4

Bets Placed – 13


Charity Selection

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800 Wolverhampton

Harbour Vision £5 win only 11/2 – Dropping in class and easing down the weights, is 2 /2 in this company and drops down to class 6 for first time since Aug 2020. Unexposed at the new trip and could have more to offer.


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Monday’s Selections from #Plumpton #Stratford #Taunton

The latest selections

Main Selections

355 Plumpton (NAP)

Appreciate 1pt win only 12/1 – Latest run offered some promise and enters handicap company over obstacles from what looks a very fair mark and in what looks a very winnable contest. Yard have been in fine for with 6 winners and a 33% strike in the last 14 days. Their record here at Plumpton in the last 12 months reads pretty well too with 5 wins and 4 placed from 19. Lots to like.

255 Stratford (NB)

The Cathal Don 1pt win only 16/1 – A decent hurdler who looked to be certain to make up into a good chaser after winning at just the 2nd time of asking over the bigger obstacles for H De Bromhead. Still looked full of promise on yard debut but has failed to back that up on last two runs. This represents a marked drop in class here having said that and he would be entitled to put in a much more convincing effort from todays much lower mark. Tongue strap back on that has seen him win twice and place once from just 4 runs in that gear.

345 Taunton (IWAC)

Grizzly James 0.5pt EW 16/1 (4 places Will Hill) – Not really fired for his new yard but another one taking a sharp drop in class having fallen in the weights and far too soon to be written off. Venetia Williams will be frustrated from what she has seen to date no doubt and sends this one now over a trip that is sure to suit and in more fitting company. Ran well for a long way last time out having returned from a wind op, making this drop in trip look like the sensible option.

Multiple

0.25pt Trixie on above 3 runners – 1pt

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Sunday’s Selections from #Warwick

The latest selections

Main Selections

320 Warwick (NAP)

Skandiburg 1pt win only 14/1 – Hard to make a case for based on last 2 runs but takes a drop in class here stepping back up in trip from a much reduced mark. This longer trip will suit much better than the 19F he has gone over on his last 2 outings and he now sits on a very attractive mark. This family will know this horse well and it will only be a matter of time before he gives Charlotte Fuller her first winner as a trainer.

355 Warwick (NB)

Shanty Alley 1pt win only 13/2 – Progressive sort who has struggled so far this term. Has fallen down the weights as a result and now sits on a very handy mark however and takes a slight drop in class today having run well for a long way in the Tommy Whittle last time out so better can be expected.

430 Warwick (NNB)

Cawthorne Lad 1pt win only 11/1 – A very competitive race with a couple of promising looking handicap debutants, most notably one from the N Henderson yard who looks to have got in here lightly following a good 3rd in a decent looking race. Jonjo O Neill has saddled the winner of this race in its last two renewals and sends just this one runner today. Looks to be thereabouts at the weights and should give you a good run for your money.

Multiple

0.25pt Trixie on above 3 runners – 1pt


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Saturday Selections from #Ayr #Hereford #Sandown #Wolverhampton

Main Selections

100 Ayr (Nap)

Island Mahee 1pt win only 12/1 – Shaped as if something was amiss when last seen at Hexham but had previously put in an eye-catching run at Perth in a race where the form has held up pretty well since. Been off 162 days but has done her best work fresh and at this time of year so we are not put off by that. Mark looks about right if able to put that last run behind her.

135 Ayr (Nb)

Grand Morning 1pt win only 12/1 – 3 times course winner who is back on his last winning mark. Dropping in class here and has conditions looking favourable. Has a bit to prove but won on this card last year and is sitting on a good mark. More than capable and looks overpriced.

231 Hereford (Nnb)

Grooveur 1pt win only 8/1 – Worth a try at this new trip from a sliding mark. Has run well in a couple of decent looking races this term and is certainly not out of this if able to cope with todays much longer trip. Being bought along steadily by the yard and will be in the winners enclosure again before long.

0.25Pt Trixie on Nap/Nb/Nnb = 1pt

Specials/Offer

150 Sandown

Georges Saint £10 win only @22/1 (Skybet money back as cash if 2nd,3rd,4th or 5th) – We have gone a little outside the box with this selection and come away from the obvious choices of Peejaybee, Kappers Hil Our Jet etc. All of who line up here very much on merit and we take nothing away from what they have achieved. All are possibly a little more exposed than the selection here however who could just be one who has slipped under the radar. A dual winner over in France who put in a very decent performance on yard debut back over the smaller obstacles, slightly disappointing next time but was kept wide throughout in the mud and may go better in todays conditions. Has also had a wind op since that run so hopefully that will have the desired effect for what looks like a well handicapped runner from a yard very much in form.

131 Wolverhampton

Mighty Gurka £10 win only 13/2 (PP money back as Free Bet if 2nd,3rd or 4th) – Has been given a chance by the handicapper here following a couple of lesser performances, had excuses last time from the wide stall which can be very unforgiving at Kempton and is very much of interest having been freshened up by Archie Watson. Often ridden prominently and will most likely do so again today so hopefully he will be able to hold on from this relaxed mark.

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225 Sandown

Lucky One £5 win only @6/1 – Seems to have followed a similar trajectory as the yards winner in this race last year and has possibly been targeted specifically at this and his next race. Beaten a fair way last time out but was not given a hard time and came away a clear third in behind a handicap blot but ahead of a fairly decent field. Todays drop back in trip should suit and looks the one to beat. Harry Skelton now takes over in the saddle.

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Selections from #Kelso #Southwell

1255 Southwell

Street Poet 0.5pt EW 33/1 5 places SkyBet – Faded late on last time out making a return to action following 6 months off the track and having had a wind op going into the race. Can be entitled to have come on a little for that run and should go closer here today from a very attractive mark. Danger comes from another well treated runner in Loving Your Work from the in form R Menzies yard.

230 Southwell

Bronze River 1pt win only 7/1 – Has been blowing the start recently and has missed the break on all of his last 3 starts. Despite that he has been seeing out his races well and should give a good account once more. This represents a small dip in grade and granted a clearer break should be right in the mix.

330 Southwell

Sandie’s Dream 1pt win only 12/1 – Put in a very pleasing run returning to action last time out. Had no chance with the run away winner but stayed on well having been a bit short of room at a pivotal point. Should give another good account here for the in form Marco Botti yard.

105 Kelso

Into Overdrive 1pt win only 6/1 – A winner on only his second start over hurdles and has held that form well enough in a couple of starts since. Quickly reverts to the bigger obstacles now from what looks a very fair mark and on breeding should make into a decent chaser.

Multiple

0.25Pt Trixie on above 3 win selections – 1pt

Jan 8th Summary of selections

The latest selections

Main Selections

545 Kempton

King Carney 14/1 0.5pt EW 4 places Skybet – Would be easy to look elsewhere at first glance but has fallen to a very attractive mark following a few lacklustre performances for this new yard. Steps back up to the mile today however, a trip over which both of his wins to date have come at which is a huge plus from this tumbling mark. Looks to be at the right level here to get involved and is turned out quickly by the yard that took the race last year.

110 Lingfield

Canagat 1`pt win only 14/1 – Looked to be on his way back to some sort of form at Southwell 2 runs back but failed to build on that last time out. Has plummeted down the weights and goes today from a career low mark in a race that was taken by the same yard last year. Will be entitled to go much closer here dropping back in trip.

233 Newcastle

Rafferty’s Return 14/1 0.5pt EW – Up in trip for this belated hurdles debut and comes here with the yard bang in form with 6/14 in the last 14 days for a 43% strike. Showed ability in his two bumpers and cannot be ruled out receiving a fair chunk of weight from a few of the market principals.

Multiple

0.25pt EW trixie on above 3 runners

Jan Pts Played – 16pts

Jan Pts Returned – 18.20pts


Specials/Offers

Rikoboy 18/1 £10 win only (Paddy Power, money back as FREE BET if finishing 2nd,3rd or 4th in the 205 Wincanton)

A winner at Market Rasen last winter and followed up with another good run before putting in a couple of lesser efforts. Has been wrapped up since then and makes a return to action today for the very shrewd Dr Newland. Has gone well fresh previously and this yard know how to get one ready. Improvement can be expected and this one would not need to improve much to put in a big run here. Eased a couple of pounds and has conditions on side.

Coupdebol 6/1 £10 win only (Boylesports, money back as FREE BET on all losing bets in the 130 Wincanton)

Very lightly raced 7 year old who needs taking seriously now entering handicap company. Has displayed a fair level of ability in two runs for this yard that were separated by almost 2 years off the track. Latest run following over 700 days off the track and wind surgery was a very pleasing one and much more can be expected here. Could well be a handicap blot based on performances to date but still has something to prove here.


Charity Bet

CJ’s Charity selection today

Crossing The Bar 5/2 (240 Winc) – £10 win only Corals no finish money back offer

Has placed in both hurdles starts to date and looks fairly treated going in handicap company for the first time today. Form of latest run looks to be strong enough to get involved here.

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Natural History 9/2 (335Sand) – £5 Win Only

Paddy Power

William Hills

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Wycombe v Sunderland – Leicester v Watford – Port Vale v Brentford – Accrington v MK Dons – Newport v Salford – Oldham V Sutton

Ladbrokes

1-2-FREE game selections (Win up to £100 for free)

West Ham 3- 1 Leeds

Cameroon 3 – 0 Burkina Faso

Nottm Forrest 1 – 2 Arsenal


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York #EborFestival Selections

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13:50 York 21 Aug 2021

Sky Bet And Symphony Group Strensall Stakes

My Oberon 1pt win only 9/2

Took a Newmarket G3 with relative ease on return to action back in April and has since acquitted himself well at the highest level. Has been freshened up with a break and should be ready to roll here for the in form William Haggas and Tom Marquand. Has a previous course win to his name and will not mind the forecast rain.

14:25 York 21 Aug 2021

Sky Bet Melrose Handicap

Marshall Plan 0.5pt EW 16/1 6 places

Beat the Mark Johnston trained Golden Flame on just his second start and put in a fair effort in a race that has worked out pretty well at Royal Ascot. Shaped as though this step up in trip could suit when last seen a staying on 3rd and is well worth a try at these odds for the bang in form John Gosden.

15:00 York 21 Aug 2021

Sky Bet City Of York Stakes

Fivethousandtoone 0.5pt EW 40/1

Three year old runners have done well in this race in recent years taking 5 of the last 6 renewals so we plum for one of only 2 in here this term. Nowhere near his best in a couple of runs this year and has plenty to prove today. The best of his 2yo form however puts him right in the mix here should he be able to rediscover himself a little today. Yard are being patient with him and it will pay off at some point.

15:35 York 21 Aug 2021

Sky Bet Ebor Handicap

Max Vega 0.5pt EW 25/1 8 places Skybet

Stayed on past beaten horses when last seen returning from a 9 month lay off and a gelding op but was entitled to have been in need of that run and much better can be expected today. He is in good hands and put in one of his best performances around this time last year at Newbury when second to the very smart Hukum. Won’t mind the forecast rain and is overpriced with 8 places available. the Willie Mullins runner, Mt Leinster has to be feared given his trainers recent record in these type of events so a 1pt saver is advised at 6/1

16:10 York 21 Aug 2021

Julia Graves Roses Stakes

Caturra 1pt win only 15/2

Last of 7 in the G2 Richmond stakes last time out but was not beaten far that day having tried to make all in a race that looks to be holding its form well having turned out a G1 winner since. Already a listed winner and will need to defy a small penalty today but looks capable dropping back in trip today. Not sure he will want too much of the forecast rain but has the stamina to be staying on should it get testing enough.

16:45 York 21 Aug 2021

Sky Bet Handicap

Strait Of Hormuz 1pt win only 8/1

Back to form when a close up 3rd in the John Smith’s Cup last time out over CD and another few strides would have seen him come out on top. Andre Atzeni takes over in the saddle today and this ones last victory came in these very capable hands. Versatile with conditions and has to go close again today. Race could well be set up for him today with plenty of early pace looking a certainty from Cockalorum and Fishable.

17:20 York 21 Aug 2021

Sky Bet Apprentice Handicap

Showalong 1pt win only 15/2

A CD winner already and seems to like it here having put in another big run back in June. Has failed to get involved in two very hot races since but is worth another look returning here having been eased in the weights slightly. Gets a handy 3lb taken off by Ella McCain who does well for the yard that have won this twice in the last 5 years. Goes very well on soft ground so will have been praying for the forecast rain today.

0.25Pt Trixie Caturra/Straits Of Hormuz/Showalong – 1pt


Total Pts Played: 8 Points

Aug Total:  -6

Aug Selections: 6

Aug ROI: +%

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Sundays Selections

Donations are always greatly appreciated. Please take a look how you can help Acorns Childrens Hospice https://www.justgiving.com/fundraising/h4csupportedcharity

Rival 1pt win only 5/1 (345Ches) Nap

Worth another try here stepping up in trip. Failed to settle last time and never got involved, previously put in a very strong performance here in an all the way comfortable victory over a decent looking field. Taken to bounce back for the in form Andrew Balding yard who has an excellent record at the track. Oisin Murphy takes the ride and is very profitable to follow when riding for the yard.

Set In Stone 0.5pt EW 20/1 (515Ches) Outsider

Aside from a couple of Jumpers Bumpers this one has not been seen on the level since finishing runner up over CD last year. Beaten by a decent looking sort that day from a good yard and did so from a wide draw in stall 10. Looks to be on a fair mark returning here and the yard are on fire with a 40% strike in the last 14 days. Callum Rodriguez takes the ride so is in good hands.

Low Profile 1pt win only 8/1 (130Mar) Nb

Modest flat performer who warrants respect going over obstacles for the first time. Has won over 1m6f and performed very respectably in a couple of staying handicaps. Looks a likely sort on paper for a yard that do well with these sorts. Yard/Trainer duo are very profitable to follow when teaming up. They have 2 together today and we take a saver bet on the other (see below)

Para Queen 0.5pt Ew 18/1 4 places (335Mar) Outsider

Decent handicap debut last time out and being brought along gently by a shred outfit. Eased 3lb in the handicap. Possible improvement on the cards given time and with 4 places available is worth a try today.

Profit and Loss 1pt win only 8/1 (150Thi) Iwac

Yard are having a great season and particularly noteworthy with their 2yo’s this term. They send just this one today and he has a decent entry on the York Ebor card in a couple of weeks. Nicely bred, half brother to a couple of decent winners and could be ready at the first time of asking here. Good Draw.

0.25pt Trixie on above 3 win selections – 1pt


Total Pts Played: 6 Points

Aug Total: 

Aug Selections:

Aug ROI: +%

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Glorious Goodwood Day 5

13:20 Goodwood 31 Jul 2021

Thames Materials Handicap

Oo De Lally 1pt win only 7/1

Found it hard to get involved last time out from the wide draw at Chester. We ignore that run as we know how crucial the draw can be there and instead look toward the from of the Newcastle win and his run here back in May over CD. Has the beating of the Mark Johnson runner on the form of that Newcastle run and the run has since been franked by Baashir coming out and winning at Doncaster where he had another of todays runners Just Frank in behind. The run over CD came on Soft ground and the winner that day has gone on to score again, finish second in a Listed event and bag a place here behind Maydanny Yesterday. So there’s plenty to like on paper. William Carver takes off 5lb and was on board last time over CD too.

13:55 Goodwood 31 Jul 2021

Unibet Stewards’ Sprint Handicap

Abduction 0.5pt EW 20/1 5 places B365

Promising 2yo form and returned to action a very good second to Music Society at Pontefract. Didn’t turn up at all next time and will need to bounce back here. Still looked pretty progressive on reappearance and is worth taking a chance on here that improvement could well be on the card today. Still totally unexposed and looks fairly treated here.

14:30 Goodwood 31 Jul 2021

Summer Handicap

Urban Artist 1pt win only 7/1

Dropping in grade and back into handicap company following a couple of decent runs in Listed and G3 company. Finished last season well in a Listed race following two comfortable Handicap victories under todays rider. Mark doesn’t look overly generous but looks to be the pick of a couple of decent sorts that Oisin could have sat on here and is sure to give her running again today. Trip and conditions look ideal to bring out the very best in this mare.

15:05 Goodwood 31 Jul 2021

Qatar Lillie Langtry Stakes

No Bet

15:40 Goodwood 31 Jul 2021

Unibet Stewards’ Cup

Fresh 1pt win only 13/2

Progressing well and looks to be at his best when competing in these big field Handicaps. Has the beating of a few of these rivals already and his 3rd in the Wokingham last time out looks solid. Still relatively unexposed and the 3lb rise could be easily negated by the expected progression we could see today. Meraas for Mark Johnston looks to be a big threat and could be worth an EW saver at 16/1 (6 places)

16:10 Goodwood 31 Jul 2021

British European Breeders Fund EBF Maiden Stakes

Devasboy 1pt win only 12/1

Looks a likely sort for this event on breeding and is related to a couple of decent sorts including a 7f 2yo winner. Family have all gone well on debut and bred to act on these softer conditions. Mark Johnston teamed up with S De Sousa back in 2017 to win this with a similar newcomer.

16:45 Goodwood 31 Jul 2021

Signature Apprentice Handicap

Fox Premier 0.5pt EW 35/1 5 places PP

Had a year to forget in 2020 but then didn’t we all. The form that this son of Frankel showed the previous season however puts this one right in the mix from this current mark. Will need to have put a bad year behind him returning from a 166 day lay off but is in excellent hands and has gone well fresh before so the chance is taken.